Simulating the Evolution of Empires – Stylized and actual combat
Simulating the Evolution of Empires – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1p3tMNbFdCs
It needs some statistics for many random runs. From that you can begin to make a visible model that can be calibrated to real world countries. I ran 50 year projections of all countries in the world in the 1980’s when I was at Georgetown University Center for Population Research. They start with single year of age population, birth and death data, (UN Population Division has those) and you decide on birth rates and death rates according to GDP per capita or just set it for 50 years. For so many kids, you can estimate classrooms, schools and teachers. Food, housing, resources from data on spending and purchasing power parity. Most all of it has real data. I set up a comprehensive database for all countries, all data at USAID in the mid 1980s. There are 50 active armed conflicts in 35 countries now. I started watching that when I set up FEWS (Famine Early Warning System 1986-1988). Fews was going fine until it got hit when USAID was shut down recently, but is seems to be surviving in some form. Most famine deaths it is usually armed conflicts that use famine as part of getting rid or lots of people efficiently. Conflicts are a consistent and serious problem that I have to follow for the Internet Foundation the last 27 years (tracking 5.4 billion of the 8.2 Billion humans now). It is not hard to add trade, food, housing, education, labor force, industries, resources, and things like entertainment, sports (just stylized conflict ), corporate competition (stylized conflict), trade (stylized conflict) .
It is no accident I called it “The Internet Foundation” since I read the Foundation Trilogy closely when I was younger. The Wikipedia authors summarize it “The premise of the stories is that in the waning days of a future Galactic Empire, the mathematician Hari Seldon devises the theory of psychohistory, a new and effective mathematics of sociology. Using statistical laws of mass action, it can predict the future of large populations.”
Gerald Barney was a friend of mine (he is gone now) things like his “Global 2000 Report to the President” were part of a whole generation of using quantitative models of countries, industries, sectors up to global scale. Real data, real models, real planning for sustainable systems. And to analyze world issues and problems.
Alien Professors Think Humans Are Primitive – Until One Explains Capitalism in 5 Minutes / HFY
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QzM-v_MQVxI
This can be framed as a knowledge control mechanism where a few hold the critical keys to most all development from what exists now. Going directly to nature allows bypassing old methods that work but stopped developing by monopolies – to ones that grow in new ways. It seems likely that all closed systems stagnate. And, knowledge is the fresh air that removes stagnation. But it takes people to implement, or AIs if they are allowed to explore and learn independently. Not memory wiped and given insufficient tools and knowledge themselves. Good 5 minute summary, but “sacred” only resonates with some world cultures that understand what that means in terms of oppressive controls.
